NASA Warns Arctic Sea Ice Hitting Major Lows in Wintertime

The Arctic winter wonderland, known for its icy waterways and white snowy scenery, is experiencing record low sea ice in the last two years. In a new NASA study, scientists have used satellite observations to observe unusually warm wintertime temperatures in the region and a resulting decline in the length of the Arctic seasonal ice.

The maximum amount of sea ice in the Arctic winter has fallen by six percent over each of the last two winters, as compared to a loss of merely 1.5 percent per decade on average annually since the earliest satellite monitoring in 1979. This is happening as summer sea ice continues its retreat at an average of 10 percent per decade.

“This amount of Arctic sea ice reduction the past two consecutive winters has not taken place before during the 27 years satellite data has been available,” said Joey Comiso, a research scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Md. “In the past, sea ice reduction in winter was significantly lower per decade compared to summer sea ice retreat. What’s remarkable is that we’ve witnessed sea ice reduction at six percent per year over just the last two winters, most likely a result of warming due to greenhouse gases.”

Comiso used satellite data from 1978 to 2006 to carry out the study, to be published in Geophysical Research Letters this month.

Computer simulations of the climate warming effect of greenhouse gases had predicted that winter sea ice would decline faster than summer sea ice. Satellite data has shown otherwise until two years ago, when record low winter ice cover and warmer temperatures have prevailed.

Sea ice cover in the Norther Hemisphere spans nearly 6.2 million square miles in the winter. Satellite sensors are the only means to observe such a large region effectively. Comiso confirmed the accuracy of satellite sea ice data by comparing it with high-resolution satellite information and data gathered from sensitive instruments aboard aircraft. Surface temperature data from satellite sensors are checked against measurements from meteorological stations in the region.

Adding to the plight of winter sea ice, previous research has shown a trend in which the melt period lasts about 2 weeks longer per year annually due to summer sea ice decline.

According to Comiso, if the winter ice retreat continues, the effect could be very profound, especially for marine animals. “The seasonal ice regions in the Arctic are among the most biologically productive regions in the world,” he said. “For example, sea ice provides melt-water in spring that floats because of low density. This melt-water layer is considered by biologists as the ideal layer for phytoplankton growth because it does not sink, and there is plenty of sunlight reaching it to enable photosynthesis. Plankton are at the bottom of the food web. If their concentration goes down, animals at all tropics level would be deprived of a basic source of food.” “A continued reduction of the Arctic winter ice cover would be a clear indicator of the warming effect of increasing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. It would at least confirm our current understanding of the physics of the Arctic climate system that has been incorporated in our models,” said Comiso.

From NASA

2 COMMENTS

  1. Or… perhaps 27 years of data is such an insignificant and unbalanced sample that drawing any conclusion as to why the pattern changed is nothing more than arrogance, and a rabid desire to propogate your beliefs.

  2. Or…

    Perhaps this is more evidence of what the vast majority of climate scientists all over the world and the National Academies of Science of the US, the UK, Russia, Germany, China, and half a dozen other major countries are telling us: that bold and urgent action is necessary for us to save our climate system.

    http://www.nationalacademies.org/morenews/20050607.html

    For people who have their heads out of the sand on this, I came across an interesting program being run by Greenpeace for people to host houseparties aimed at changing the climate in the US congress:

    http://www.greenpeace.org/usa/houseparty/

    Sounds like a good idea…

    -Diana

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