Magnetic Poles are Drifting Rapidly

  • In just the last 20 years, the North Magnetic Pole has moved 400 miles out of Canada and into the Siberian side of the geographic pole.
    Map of pole drift

  • In Derinkuyu, Turkey, there is an entire underground city, half a million square feet of living space extending hundreds of feet down. It was built in a time before written records — at least 6,000 years ago, but possibly much older.
  • 42,000 years ago, the earth’s poles flipped from north to south and back, and for several centuries during the transition, there was no magnetic shield protecting the earth from cosmic rays. People and animals living on the surface would have been at high risk of radiation sickness and cancer.
  • Catherine Austin FittsPhil Schneider, and others report that a network of hundreds of underground cities connected by high-speed rail have been built as a secret US military project, funded by $ tens of trillions of missing funds in the Pentagon budget.

Is there a relationship among these four stories?


What causes the earth’s magnetic field?

The earth’s core is made of molten iron. It’s not the magnetic properties of (solid) iron that are important, but rather the fact that molten metal conducts electricity. The churning of the molten metal tends to align with the spin of the earth, and this creates a current that tends to go around the same axis. So there is a tendency for the magnetic poles to align roughly with the geographic poles, irrespective of whether the current is flowing clockwise or counter-clockwise.

The North and South magnetic poles have flipped many times during the lifetime of our planet. Geologists know this from looking for magnetization in volcanic rocks that were once molten and then crystalized at various times in the past. Every few hundred thousand years there is a pole flip, but the last one was more than 800,000 years ago. So we’re “overdue”.

What happens when the poles flip

This must be theoretical, because no one has experienced a pole flip within recorded history. Nevertheless, there is substantial consensus about the consequences.

The earth’s magnetic field weakens before a pole reversal. The field becomes more chaotic and smaller. During the pole reversal, the magnetic field almost disappears. The magnetic field had been protecting the earth’s surface from cosmic ray particles and (weaker but still highly energetic) particles from the “solar wind”. So radiation at the earth’s surface increases, and this affects the chemistry of life.

Cosmic rays are charged particles, mostly protons moving very close to the speed of light. Magnetic fields turn the course of any charged particle sideways and around in a spiral. The earth’s magnetic field deflects most of the cosmic rays that would otherwise strike the surface. Most of the rest is trapped by the magnetic field and makes landfall at the magnetic north or south pole, far from densely populated areas.

In addition to cosmic rays, which come from outside the solar system and arrive in a constant stream, there is a solar wind with similar particles, less energetic, and coming in waves depending on sunspot activity and on the direction of solar mass ejections.

Both cosmic rays and solar ejecta are capable of burning out electronic circuits. The internet will go down. Satellite communications and GPS guidance systems will fail.

Less immediately, but within a few years, there would likely be a solar storm that might have been harmless in other circumstances, but with the earth denuded of its magnetic protection, power grids would go down in large portions of the globe.

The radiation dosage at sea level would not be lethal to humans in the short term, but over a lifetime would greatly accelerate aging and increase risk of cancer.

Laschamps

The Laschamps event is by far the most recent, and by far the best studied of all the times the poles have reversed — hence a sample of one. A 42,000-year-old tree was found in Australia that was preserved in a bog, and from analysis of chemical composition (including isotopes) in the tree rings, a detailed history was reconstructed and matched against what had previously been known from geologic records.

There was a period of several hundred years during which the earth’s magnetic field weakened, disappeared, reversed, then reversed again to roughly the original (and present) configuration.

The Laschamps event occurred at the beginning of a cold spell that lasted 30,000 years. This was the most recent ice age. Whether the Laschamps event triggered the ice age is controversial.

Positive and negative feedback loops in the climate system

Was it just coincidental that the last ice age began at the same time as the earth’s magnetic field flipped and flipped again? How can a transient magnetic field change that lasted a few hundred years trigger an ice age that lasts 30,000 years? This is a big and important question and I don’t think we have a complete answer. Let me offer a hypothesis.

There are positive feedback loops and negative feedback loops within the complexity of the earth’s climate. A positive feedback loop means that if the earth starts getting cooler, the effect snowballs (so to speak) and the cooling is amplified. A negative feedback loop means that if the earth starts getting cooler, then offsetting effects are triggered that make the cooling smaller than you would otherwise expect.

Example of positive feedback loops:

  • When temperatures rise, the permafrost melts, releasing trapped methane, a greenhouse gas which traps more sunlight.
  • When temperatures fall, more of the earth is covered by ice, which reflects sunlight, further cooling the planet.

Examples of negative feedback loops:

  • Higher temperatures lead to more ocean evaporation, creating more cloud cover, which reflects more sunlight.
  • When atmospheric CO2 rises, there is more plant growth, pulling CO2 out of the atmosphere.
  • When CO2 is emitted into the atmosphere, the ocean acts as a buffer, absorbing CO(as calcium carbonate).

My hypothesis is that the positive feedback loops tend to be fast (years to centuries) and the negative feedback loops tend to be slow (centuries to millennia). Positive feedback loops can cause the climate to be stuck in a warm phase or a cold phase for tens of thousands of years, until some dramatic event reverses the trend. 42,000 years ago, that dramatic event was the Laschamps pole flip. 12,700 years ago, that dramatic event was space dust from the Milky Way impinging on our sun (according to Schoch and LaViolette) or a meteor shower that bombarded the North American ice cover (according to Hancock), dumping millions of cubic miles of water into the oceans.

Is there an effect on climate?

It is fashionable to be concerned about “global warming”. But, in fact, typical temperatures for the last million years of earth’s history are at least 6o C colder than the prevailing temperatures for all of recorded human history.

Temperature history, half a million years

(Source)

So it is plausible that the next pole shift could end the warm era during which our civilization has grown up and flourished for 12,000 years, and plunge the earth into an ice age that is more typical of the half million years that humans have inhabited the planet.

Derinkuyu

In modern times, Derinkuyu has only been known since 1963. It is the largest of several ancient underground cities in the Capadocia region of south central Turkey. (One possibly larger has been discovered at Nevşehir,but it is not yet explored.)

GoogleMap showing Capadocia region of Turkey

The site is spread over more than 4 million square meters, of which the usable living area comprises about 50,000 square meters. There are 18 underground levels, extending 85 meters down.

This is what Derinkuyu looks like above ground

There are spaces for living, for livestock, for artisans, for public gatherings. There is a sophisticated network of ventilation shafts. It is estimated that 20 – 30,000 people once lived there.

Carbon-dated artifacts found inside can tell us that a minimum age for the structure is 4,000 years, but there is no way to tell if occupants 4,000 years ago actually dug the tunnels or re-used existing tunnels. 4,000 years ago was the bronze age, when it is clear that there was no machinery and even shovels were soft metal. Since it is implausible that such an extensive project could have been constructed without machine tools, this points to a much older date, when there was a technological civilization.

Derinkuyu is not the only site hinting at an earlier technological civilization (or more than one), knowledge of which was lost in Noah’s Flood (the Younger Dryas event ended the last ice age 12,700 years ago) or in some earlier catastrophe. The Pyramids, Baalbek, Machu Picchu, the Colossus of Ramses, and the Easter Island statues also required advanced technology and machine tools. We do not have the technology today to re-create the Great Pyramid at Giza or to lift the largest foundation stone at Baalbek. There are 40,000 precision-carved stone urns in the Cairo museum that were produced by an unknown ancient technology. Solid pieces of hard, brittle stone were carved from the inside out using a technology we cannot replicate today. [more details and links here]

It is clear that there have been technological civilizations in humanity’s deep past, but they probably did not use the same kinds of technologies we have today. That’s because there is no evidence of ancient plastics or fossil fuels or steel structures or nuclear waste. It is likely there is another basis for technology that permits carving and transport of stone more easily than metal. Wouldn’t it be interesting to know how that technology worked?

So, my speculation is that Derinkuyu is 42,000 years old, from a time when the earth’s magnetic field temporarily disappeared, and people needed to spend most of their time underground to protect themselves from cosmic rays.

Magnetic fields, cosmic rays, and climate

We hear so much about the greenhouse gases that it’s easy to forget: the largest effect on earth’s temperature comes from changes in albedo. Albedo is the cloud cover that reflects sunlight back into space before it can warm the ground. A 1% change in cloud cover has more effect than a 50% change in atmospheric CO2. A 1% decrease in cloud cover globally would cause about 1½ degree C rise in temperature, more than all of the global warming that has been attributed to anthropogenic CO2 to date.

Henrik Svensmark promotes a theory that connects solar activity (sunspots), cosmic rays, and earth’s temperature. The gist of it is that cosmic rays cause the water vapor over oceans to condense into droplets. Cosmic rays, he says, are the main driver of cloud cover that increases the earth’s albedo (=reflected sunlight) and decreases temperature.

Figure from Svensmark shwoing correlation of cosmic rays with cloud cover

When the magnetic field collapses, cosmic rays increase, and temperatures drop.

The relationship to sunspots is the reverse: There is a continual “solar wind”, charged particles emanating from the sun. When the solar wind is strong, it creates a solar magnetic field that helps protect the earth from cosmic rays.

Hence high solar activity ⇒ larger magnetic fields ⇒ less cosmic rays ⇒ warmer planet

Changes in cosmic rays, either because of solar wind or because of distant events in our galaxy, have much larger effects on the earth’s climate than anthropogenic CO2. [Press release for a 2019 Kobe University study based on this journal article.]

Galactic connection?

Ben Davidson of the Space Weather Youtube channel makes a connection to the magnetic field of the galaxy as a whole.

(I don’t vouch for all of Davidson’s science, and I don’t understand enough to know what he gets right and what he gets wrong. He’s quite the apocalyst, predicting a full pole reversal within the next decade, with concomitant worldwide societal collapse. Robert Schoch is saying the same things, with a solid scientific foundation, except that Schoch makes no claim about timing within a decade.)

According to Davidson, there are waves of magnetism and plasma that propagate across the “galactic current sheet”. (Conventional astronomy recognizes a solar current sheet, but not a galactic current sheet.) The peak of the wave passes through our solar system every 12,000 years, with a secondary peak at 6,000 year intervals. At these times, the combination of magnetic disturbance plus a stream of particles falling onto the sun causes the sun to have a “micro-nova” event, in which solar storm activity is extra high, and there are extreme solar mass ejections.

Davidson says that the Younger Dryas event that first created a temporary temperature drop, then ended the last age was a result of a periodic encounter with his galactic current sheet; and that the present pole drift is right on time to be the next such catastrophic, civilization-ending event.

What is happening now?

We don’t know. Theory is lacking because we don’t understand the dynamics of the earth’s molten core. And we have no history with which to compare, save the 42,000-year-old sample of one known as Laschamps.

The earth’s magnetic poles are drifting and the field strength weakening in a way that’s easily measurable from year to year. There is no history to tell us whether this is a common event or a rare event. It could be heralding a pole reversal in the next decade, or it could be a blip that will soon return to “normal”. I don’t think we are in a position to assign a probability for the worst kind of catastrophe.

The interesting thing to me is that the consequences are epochal, and yet the mainstream of science and politics is utterly silent on this issue. Shouldn’t we be studying countermeasures, preparing a plan for minimizing loss of life and preserving some features of civilization, just in case?

“Earth’s magnetic field is probably not reversing”

Earth’s magnetic field is probably not reversing | PNAS

This article presents computer models of two events tens of thousands of years ago during which the field reversed, and two more during which it did not. The models indicate that present drift of the magnetic poles is more similar to the latter.

“This suggests that the current weakened field will also recover without an extreme event such as an excursion or reversal.”

When I see reassuring articles like this, based on computer models, I am not reassured. Rather, I suspect that the article is sponsored by someone with an agenda to hide.

Do the overlords know something we don’t know?

My nightmare is that there are a few thousand rich, privileged people who have access to information and technology that they are not sharing with us. Perhaps they know what is coming. Perhaps they have the technology to build self-sufficient underground cities. I linked above to Catherine Austin Fitts and Phil Schneider. Richard Dolan and Jason Jorjani have also written about breakaway civilizations. Bill Ryan’s Project Avalon has a page on underground bases.

I remember reading a few years ago (though I can’t find it now) an account by a whistleblower behavioral economist who was hired as consultant by one of these tycoons. The question he was asked to investigate: Once the above-ground world has fallen into ruin, once the fortunes amassed by his client become worthless, how will he motivate the peons to keep working for him?

The consultant walked away.

What could we do to prepare?

We don’t know if the magnetic field will weaken or completely disappear, and we don’t know whether the condition will last for weeks or years or centuries.

The easiest preparation to make is for the short-term, in the aftermath of a global loss of power and communications. There will be plenty of food on the in the Farm Belt, but none in the cities. The reservoirs will be full, but when we open the tap in the kitchen sink, nothing will come out.

If it is winter, we will be stuck without heat. If it is summer, we will have no AC.

So, for short-term solutions:

  • Stockpile water
  • Stockpile non-perishable foods
  • If you can afford a few thousand dollars, get a backup electric generator hooked into your electric panel, burning gasoline or propane from a tank.
  • Most important, organize your neighbors. Cooperate to plan on pooling water and food. Share cars to preserve fuel. Who is able to keep their house warm, and would be willing to house neighbors during a crisis? Who is strong enough to look after those who cannot care for themselves?

These measures will only be effective in the unlikely event the crisis is short-lived, or if they are followed by a long-term survival plan.

Living in a world with dangerous levels of ground radiation is the last level of preparedness. We will need thick concrete walls or underground bunkers. We will need people to venture above ground for short periods to grow and harvest food for us. If they take turns, the danger of radiation effects will be small.

Global systems are fragile — anything could trigger a meltdown

Global supply chains have been optimized (short-term) for efficiency at the cost in fragility. We depend on a global economic system for necessities of life. Whether or not there is a pole shift in our future, we are vulnerable to disruptions that might be geographic, astronomical, or political.

Local water, local farms, and local energy will be necessary to our survival some time soon. Vegetable gardens and local organizing are how we prepare.

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